Middlesbrough
v
Derby County
Our best tip
1XHome win or draw84% calibrated probability
All markets
Full-time result
Home win
61% confidence
Total goals (1.5)
Over 1.5
83% confidence
Total goals (2.5)
Over 2.5
63% confidence
Both teams to score
Yes
59% confidence
Model expects Middlesbrough 2.35 - 1.10 Derby County. Most likely score: 2-1. 1/X/2: 61% / 20% / 19%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, both teams to score: 59%. Form (last 5): Middlesbrough WWDWW, Derby County LLDLL.
Model probabilities (calibrated)
Home win61%
Draw20%
Away win19%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
BTTS Yes59%
BTTS No41%
Expected goals
Middlesbrough 2.35 – 1.10 Derby County
Most likely scores
2-110%
2-09%
1-18%
Model odds (no bookmaker odds entered)
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | 1.44 | 5.09 | 5.76 |
| Implied | 65% | 18% | 16% |
Form: Middlesbrough
W
W
D
W
W
Form: Derby County
L
L
D
L
L
Head to head
No previous meetings in our database.