Derby County
v
Watford
Our best tip
O 1.5Több mint 1,5 gól (lean tip)75% calibrated probability – below the 76% top-tip limit, so lower confidence
All markets
Full-time result
Home win
39% confidence
Total goals (1.5)
Over 1.5
75% confidence
Total goals (2.5)
Under 2.5
47% confidence
Both teams to score
No
44% confidence
Model expects Derby County 1.23 - 1.21 Watford. Most likely score: 1-1. 1/X/2: 39% / 27% / 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, both teams to score: 56%. Form (last 5): Derby County LLDLL, Watford LWLLW.
Model probabilities (calibrated)
Home win39%
Draw27%
Away win34%
Over 1.575%
Under 1.525%
Over 2.553%
Under 2.547%
BTTS Yes56%
BTTS No44%
Expected goals
Derby County 1.23 – 1.21 Watford
Most likely scores
1-113%
1-011%
0-111%
Model odds (no bookmaker odds entered)
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | 2.55 | 3.43 | 2.63 |
| Implied | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Form: Derby County
L
L
D
L
L
Form: Watford
W
L
L
W
L
Head to head
No previous meetings in our database.