Southampton
v
Derby County
Our best tip
1XHome win or draw89% calibrated probability
All markets
Full-time result
Home win
67% confidence
Total goals (1.5)
Over 1.5
82% confidence
Total goals (2.5)
Over 2.5
62% confidence
Both teams to score
Yes
58% confidence
Model expects Southampton 2.51 - 0.90 Derby County. Most likely score: 2-0. 1/X/2: 67% / 18% / 14%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, both teams to score: 58%. Form (last 5): Southampton WDWWD, Derby County LLDLL.
Model probabilities (calibrated)
Home win67%
Draw18%
Away win14%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
BTTS Yes58%
BTTS No42%
Expected goals
Southampton 2.51 – 0.90 Derby County
Most likely scores
2-010%
2-19%
3-09%
Model odds (no bookmaker odds entered)
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | 1.30 | 5.82 | 8.29 |
| Implied | 72% | 16% | 11% |
Form: Southampton
D
W
W
D
W
Form: Derby County
L
L
D
L
L
Head to head
No previous meetings in our database.