Millwall
4 - 1
Derby County
Our best tip
O 1.5Over 1.5 goals79% calibrated probability
All markets
Full-time result
Home win
52% confidence
Total goals (1.5)
Over 1.5
79% confidence
Total goals (2.5)
Over 2.5
58% confidence
Both teams to score
Yes
59% confidence
Model expects Millwall 1.83 - 1.11 Derby County. Most likely score: 1-1. 1/X/2: 52% / 24% / 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, both teams to score: 59%. Form (last 5): Millwall DWLDL, Derby County DDLLD.
Model probabilities (calibrated)
Home win52%
Draw24%
Away win24%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.558%
Under 2.542%
BTTS Yes59%
BTTS No41%
Expected goals
Millwall 1.83 – 1.11 Derby County
Most likely scores
1-111%
2-110%
1-010%
Model odds (no bookmaker odds entered)
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | 1.73 | 4.11 | 4.11 |
| Implied | 54% | 23% | 23% |
Form: Millwall
L
D
L
W
D
Form: Derby County
D
L
L
D
D
Head to head
No previous meetings in our database.