Manchester United
v
Aston Villa
Our best tip
12Home or away win (no draw)74% calibrated probability
All markets
Full-time result
Home win
40% confidence
Total goals (1.5)
Over 1.5
78% confidence
Total goals (2.5)
Over 2.5
57% confidence
Both teams to score
Yes
59% confidence
Model expects Manchester United 1.44 - 1.39 Aston Villa. Most likely score: 1-1. 1/X/2: 40% / 26% / 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, both teams to score: 59%. Form (last 5): Manchester United DDDLL, Aston Villa WDWWD.
Model probabilities (calibrated)
Home win40%
Draw26%
Away win34%
Over 1.578%
Under 1.522%
Over 2.557%
Under 2.543%
BTTS Yes59%
BTTS No41%
Expected goals
Manchester United 1.44 – 1.39 Aston Villa
Most likely scores
1-112%
2-19%
1-08%
Model odds (no bookmaker odds entered)
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | 2.44 | 3.75 | 2.59 |
| Implied | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Form: Manchester United
L
L
D
D
D
Form: Aston Villa
D
W
W
D
W
Head to head
No previous meetings in our database.